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Technology | Media | Telecommunications - David H. Deans, GeoActive Group

  • Trends Shaping the Global Smartphone Market
    by David H. Deans on 09.06.2025 at 12:04

    There is a pivotal shift within the global smartphone market. Recent data from IDC highlights a more cautious outlook for 2025, with projected worldwide smartphone shipments seeing a significantly reduced growth rate.This revised forecast underscores the intricate interplay of global economic factors and geopolitical dynamics on pervasive personal communication devices.IDC's latest update projects a mere 0.6 percent growth in worldwide smartphone shipments for 2025, a stark reduction from the earlier 2.3 percent expectation.Global Smartphone Market DevelopmentThis recalibration is largely attributed to prevailing economic uncertainties, including inflationary pressures and rising unemployment, alongside the persistent specter of tariff volatility.Despite these global tensions, it's interesting to note that the United States and China are still identified as the primary drivers of this modest growth. China, a critical market, is forecast to achieve a 3 percent year-over-year growth, indicating continued domestic demand and potentially the impact of local brand strength.Meanwhile, the U.S. market is expected to lag behind China, with a 1.9 percent increase in shipments. These figures paint a nuanced picture, where established markets continue to contribute, but not with the vigor seen in previous years.Looking further ahead, the five-year compound annual growth rate (2024-2029) for the smartphone market is projected at a conservative 1.4 percent. Several factors contribute to this tempered long-term outlook.We're witnessing increasing smartphone penetration in many regions, meaning fewer entirely new users entering the market. Concurrently, people are holding onto their devices for longer periods, extending refresh cycles and thereby reducing the frequency of new purchases.The burgeoning market for used smartphones also plays a significant role, offering more affordable alternatives that further lengthen the lifespan of devices and temper demand for new ones.The prospect of broader tariffs represents a serious risk to this already sensitive market. Such measures could disrupt supply chains, increase manufacturing costs, and ultimately raise device prices, further dampening demand.Countries like India and Vietnam are emerging as key alternatives to China for smartphone manufacturing, offering attractive labor costs, growing domestic markets, and increasingly sophisticated manufacturing ecosystems.From my vantage point, the key trends shaping the global smartphone market revolve around sustainability, app ecosystem stickiness, and hardware or software feature innovation.Manufacturers will increasingly focus on extending device longevity through improved durability and software support, aligning with the market demand for greater value.Feature innovation, while perhaps less revolutionary than in earlier years, will focus on incremental improvements in areas like AI integration, camera capabilities, and battery life, aiming to provide compelling reasons for upgrade within longer refresh cycles.Outlook for Global Smartphone Revenue GrowthMarket growth opportunities, while modest overall, exist in specific segments and geographies. Emerging markets with lower smartphone penetration still present opportunities for first-time buyers and those upgrading from feature phones.The premium segment continues to offer avenues for growth, driven by demand for cutting-edge technology and luxury experiences. Furthermore, the burgeoning market for refurbished and used smartphones is an opportunity to cater to budget-conscious consumers."Since April 2nd, the smartphone industry has faced a whirlwind of uncertainty. While current exemptions on smartphones have offered temporary relief, the looming possibility of broader tariffs presents a serious risk," said Nabila Popal, senior research director at IDC.That said, I believe the strategic shift towards diversified manufacturing locations like India and Vietnam offers opportunities for localized market development and deepened new supply chain partnerships. Therefore, how China responds to U.S. tariffs may be decisive.More...

  • Soft POS Market to Reach $540B by 2030
    by David H. Deans on 16.06.2025 at 12:04

    The traditional point-of-sale (POS) terminal has traveled a remarkable journey since IBM's first mainframe-connected models emerged in the 1970s. What began as clunky screen interfaces tethered to distant computers has evolved into a diverse ecosystem of payment solutions.Today, we stand at the precipice of the most significant transformation yet: the rise of soft POS technology that promises to democratize digital payments for businesses of all sizes.At its core, this evolution reflects a broader shift from hardware dependency to software flexibility.Global POS Market DevelopmentWith their dedicated terminals, fixed installations, and substantial upfront costs, traditional POS systems have long served as gatekeepers to in-store or mobile payment acceptance.Small businesses, micro-enterprises, and mobile retailers often found themselves locked out of the digital economy, forced to rely on cash transactions or make significant capital investments in POS hardware.Soft POS technology represents a shift that eliminates these barriers. By transforming any NFC-enabled smartphone or tablet into a payment acceptance device, these solutions remove the need for additional hardware while maintaining the security standards required for card-present transactions.According to Juniper Research, this technological breakthrough is not merely about convenience but economic inclusion and market accessibility.The Numbers Tell a Compelling StoryThe market projections from Juniper Research paint a picture of explosive growth that underscores the transformative potential of this technology. The global soft POS transaction value is forecast to surge from $23.9 billion in 2025 to reach $540 billion by 2030.This represents more than a 20-fold increase in just five years — a growth trajectory that rivals the most successful technology adoptions in recent history.The timing of this growth coincides with several favorable market conditions.Apple's recent support for soft POS development on iOS devices has significantly expanded the addressable market, complementing the Android-first approach that characterized early soft POS solutions.Meanwhile, the surge in digital wallet adoption and smartphone penetration has created an environment where both merchants and customers are ready to embrace contactless payment solutions.Beyond Simple Payment ProcessingLeading POS solutions are evolving into comprehensive business management platforms that integrate inventory management, customer relationship management, sales analytics, and loyalty programs.This holistic approach transforms what was once a simple transaction tool into a central nervous system for small business operations.Businesses can streamline routine tasks, automate inventory reordering, analyze sales patterns, and manage customer details — all via the device they use to accept payments.This integration eliminates the need for multiple software solutions and reduces the complexity that often overwhelms resource-constrained small retail businesses.Market Opportunities and Strategic PotentialThe competitive landscape is rapidly evolving as traditional POS manufacturers recognize the existential threat posed by soft POS solutions.Established players like PayPal and Square have moved to capture market share, while traditional hardware vendors are developing software-based offerings to protect their customer base.For emerging soft POS vendors, the path to success lies in differentiation through value-added benefits. The most successful platforms will integrate payment acceptance with business intelligence, operational efficiency tools, and growth-enabling features.The ultimate vendor and service provider winners in this space will understand that they're not just selling payment processing — they're selling digital business transformation.Outlook for Soft POS Applications GrowthSeveral key trends will shape the market's trajectory.The continued expansion of contactless payment adoption, driven by both consumer preference and hygiene considerations, creates a favorable environment for tap-to-pay solutions.The growing sophistication of mobile devices, with enhanced security features and processing power, will enable even more advanced soft POS applications."Bundled POS software reduces financial barriers, making advanced technology more accessible and helping businesses scale efficiently. In a competitive market, providers must partner with third-party vendors that offer modular integration packages to address diverse business needs and stay ahead of competitors," said Daniel Bedford, research analyst at Juniper Research.That said, I believe we're likely to see soft POS technology become a catalyst for financial inclusion in developing markets, where smartphone adoption often outpaces traditional banking infrastructure. The upside potential for soft POS is therefore significant.More...

  • Generative AI Transforms Business Intelligence
    by David H. Deans on 23.06.2025 at 12:04

    The business technology market is in constant flux, but few shifts have been as profound and rapid as the rise of Generative AI (GenAI).For decades, business intelligence and analytics software have been about extracting insights from data, typically presented in dashboards and reports requiring human interpretation.However, a recent Gartner market study describes a future in which GenAI fundamentally redefines how organizations interact with and derive value from their data, ushering in a new era of solutions.Perceptive Analytics Market DevelopmentGartner's latest prediction is stark: by 2027, a full 75 percent of all new analytics content will be contextualized for intelligent applications through GenAI tools.This signifies a seismic shift from static, descriptive analytics to dynamic, adaptive, and even autonomous decision-making systems.Georgia O'Callaghan, director analyst at Gartner, aptly notes that we are "moving from an era where analytic tools help business people make decisions, to a future where GenAI-powered analytics becomes perceptive and adaptive."This evolution is driven by the inherent limitations of traditional analytics.While current AI tools excel at automated insights and natural language queries, their static nature often falls short in delivering truly dynamic and automated insights.GenAI bridges this gap by adding critical layers of meaning to data, explaining why certain trends are occurring, their implications, and suggesting actionable next steps.Imagine a sales dashboard that not only shows a dip in revenue but immediately explains it's due to three major clients reducing orders, coinciding with a recent price increase – that's 'contextual intelligence' in action.The benefits are truly transformative.According to a Gartner survey of 403 analytics and AI leaders, over 50 percent already leverage AI tools for automated insights.This groundwork is paving the way for augmented analytics capabilities to evolve into 'autonomous analytics' platforms, with Gartner forecasting that by 2027, these platforms will fully manage and execute 20 percent of business processes.This level of autonomy promises a future where analytics is proactive, collaborative, connected, contextual, and continuous, delivering unparalleled business resilience.Perceptive analytics, fueled by AI agents, will constantly monitor evolving conditions—from market shifts to customer behavior changes or supply chain disruptions—and autonomously adjust guidance and analysis in real-time.However, with greater autonomy comes increased risk.Gartner highlights the overarching concern of "over-reliance on autonomous actions without sufficient validation," which could lead to unintended negative consequences and reputational damage.The phenomenon of "agent drift," where an AI system's perceptions and actions gradually deviate from desired outcomes, is a serious consideration.This necessitates the emergence of "guardian agents" – AI-driven monitors specifically tasked with enforcing policies and rules to ensure systems operate within defined guardrails. Therefore, enterprise data and analytics leaders must prioritize building these guardian agents as a key focal point of new governance initiatives.Outlook for GenAI-Powered Analytics AppsFrom my advisory perspective, the trends and market growth opportunities arising from this shift are immense. We will see accelerated investment in GenAI-powered analytics platforms that offer embedded contextual intelligence and autonomous capabilities.This will create significant demand for specialized consulting services focused on ethical AI deployment, data governance frameworks tailored for GenAI, and the development of robust guardian agent solutions.Furthermore, the need to upskill the enterprise workforce to interact with and trust AI-generated insights will drive growth in AI literacy training and change management programs.That said, I believe organizations that embrace this perceptive future strategically will undoubtedly gain a significant competitive advantage, accelerating decision-making, optimizing processes, and unlocking new avenues for growth across all sectors.The future of business intelligence isn't just about data; it's about intelligent, adaptive, and context-aware insights, and GenAI is the driving force behind this digital transformation.More...

  • Mobile Data Traffic to Triple by 2030
    by David H. Deans on 30.06.2025 at 12:04

    As new app demand grows, we're witnessing a surge in mobile data traffic. This trend, driven by the proliferation of bandwidth-intensive services such as video streaming, augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and next-generation cloud applications, is reshaping the telecommunications industry.According to the latest market study by ABI Research, global mobile data traffic is set to triple by 2030, challenging network operators to keep pace with this escalating demand and evolving user expectations.Mobile Data Market DevelopmentThe exponential growth in mobile data usage is a function of more devices being connected -- it also reflects fundamental shifts in how mobile subscribers and enterprises use technology.The ubiquity of smartphones, the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT), and the adoption of immersive digital experiences are all contributing to this surge in mobile data.Mobile network operators now find themselves at the center of a data-driven economy, where the quality and reliability of connectivity are critical to both business success and end-user satisfaction.Statistics and Market InsightsBy 2030, mobile data traffic is expected to surge threefold compared to current levels. This is equivalent to a compound annual growth rate that far exceeds historical averages, signaling a new era of consumption.Video streaming will continue to grow as users demand higher resolution and more interactive content. The adoption of AR and VR applications, particularly in gaming, education, and enterprise training, will further amplify data consumption.The number of connected devices per user is increasing, with IoT endpoints, wearables, and smart home devices all contributing to the data deluge. This trend is expected to accelerate as 5G and, eventually, 6G networks enable more reliable connectivity for a broader range of applications.Network Operator and Infrastructure ImplicationsThe surge presents both opportunities and challenges. On one hand, increased data usage drives revenue growth and creates new service potential. On the other hand, operators must invest in network infrastructure to ensure sufficient capacity, reliability, and security.Operators are accelerating the deployment of 5G networks for higher bandwidth, lower latency, and greater device density. Relentless growth in data traffic will necessitate ongoing investments in fiber backhaul, small cell deployments, and edge computing.By processing data closer to the source, edge computing reduces latency and alleviates pressure on core networks. This is particularly important for applications such as autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and real-time data analytics.As data traffic grows, so too does the risk of cyber threats. Operators must prioritize security measures to protect user data and maintain trust in digital services.Key Trends and Market Growth OpportunitiesThe adoption of AR, VR, and mixed reality (MR) will continue to accelerate, driven by advances in hardware and software. These technologies will transform industries ranging from entertainment and education to healthcare and manufacturing, creating new revenue streams for operators and content providers.Businesses are increasingly reliant on mobile connectivity for remote work, cloud-based collaboration, and IoT-driven automation. Plus, artificial intelligence apps are emerging.The growth of smart cities ecosystems drives mobile data usage. Applications such as traffic management, environmental monitoring, and public safety are evolving.As networks consume more energy, sustainability is important. Energy-efficient infrastructure, renewable energy sources, and advanced cooling tech will be critical.Outlook for Mobile Data Applications GrowthMobile data traffic is forecast to increase by a 23 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2025 to 2030, reaching over 5,241 exabytes by the end of this decade.In contrast, mobile subscriptions are projected to grow at a much slower pace, increasing by just 0.17 percent annually and reaching 5.659 billion subscribers globally by 2030."Success in the mobile market will increasingly depend on network performance and user experience rather than simply the number of subscribers. As data traffic grows faster than subscriptions, operators must focus on optimizing network efficiency," said Samuel Bowling, research analyst at ABI Research.That said, I believe the demand for bandwidth-intensive services fueled by AI-enabled apps will have transformed the way we connect, work, and live. Mobile network operators that invest in advanced wireless infrastructure will be best positioned to thrive in this market.More...

  • AI and Cloud Spending Ignite Server Growth
    by David H. Deans on 07.07.2025 at 12:04

    The global IT server market is undergoing a transformation, fueled by the insatiable demand for cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.As organizations across industries race to harness the power of advanced AI models, the underlying hardware ecosystem is experiencing unprecedented growth and innovation.The latest worldwide IDC market study offers a compelling view, revealing record-breaking numbers and the strategic technology shifts shaping the future of enterprise computing.Cloud Server Market DevelopmentThe most striking statistic from IDC’s 2025 analysis is the sheer scale and velocity of market expansion. The worldwide server market is projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, representing a 44.6 percent increase over 2024.This surge is not a one-off anomaly; it is the culmination of several quarters of explosive growth, with the first quarter of 2025 alone recording $95.2 billion in server sales --that's up 134.1 percent year-over-year (YoY).Key Market Segments and Regional Dynamicsx86 Servers: Still the backbone of enterprise IT, the x86 segment is expected to grow by 39.9 percent in 2025, reaching $283.9 billion.Non-x86 Servers: These are growing even faster, with a 63.7 percent YoY increase to $82 billion. ARM-based server shipments will rise 70 percent.GPU-Accelerated Servers: Embedded GPUs are forecast to expand by 46.7 percent YoY, making up nearly half of the total market value in 2025.Regionally, the United States leads the charge, accounting for nearly 62 percent of total revenue and growing at 59.7 percent year-over-year.China follows with 39.5 percent growth and over 21 percent of global revenue. Other regions, such as Japan and the broader Asia-Pacific excluding Japan and China (APeJC), are also seeing double-digit growth, while EMEA and Latin America lag with single-digit increases.Across the globe, the driving force behind this IT server market renaissance is the explosive demand for AI infrastructure. Hyperscalers and cloud service providers are investing at historic levels to support the next generation of AI workloads.Hyperscaler and Cloud Provider InvestmentThe three largest cloud providers—AWS, Microsoft, and Google Cloud—collectively invested over $62 billion in capital expenditures in the first quarter of 2025 alone, primarily to expand data center capacity for AI workloads.Over 70 percent of AI-optimized server spending in 2025 will come from hyperscale operators, with AI infrastructure investment expected to reach $202 billion, double that of traditional server hardware.ARM, GPUs, and Rack-Scale AI InnovationThe market’s growth is not just about more servers—it’s about smarter, more specialized infrastructure:ARM-Based Servers: Once a niche, ARM platforms are now mainstream in AI data centers, thanks to large rack-scale deployments like Nvidia’s GB200 NVL72, which combine ARM CPUs with high-performance GPUs for AI training and inference at scale.GPU Acceleration: The proliferation of GPU-powered servers is enabling breakthroughs in model training and inferencing, supporting the shift from narrow AI to more general, reasoning-based systems.Rack-Scale and Custom Accelerators: Hyperscalers are increasingly deploying custom accelerators (FPGAs, ASICs) and rack-scale architectures to optimize for specific AI workloads, further driving demand for advanced server systems.Key Market Trends and Growth OpportunitiesAs AI models grow in size and sophistication, the need for high-density, energy-efficient compute infrastructure will only intensify. The industry’s focus is shifting toward more efficient models that can scale in multi-user environments, supporting the computational demands of artificial general intelligence (AGI).With data center energy consumption under scrutiny, innovations in cooling (e.g., liquid-cooled GPU servers) and power management will become critical differentiators.While the U.S. and China dominate today, emerging markets in Asia-Pacific and Europe are poised for accelerated growth as AI adoption spreads and local cloud providers scale up their infrastructure.Furthermore, the competitive landscape is evolving, with traditional IT server vendors, chipmakers, and cloud giants all vying for leadership in the AI infrastructure race.Outlook for a New IT Infrastructure EraThe 2025 server market is not just breaking records—it is laying the foundation for the next era of enterprise digital transformation. The convergence of AI, cloud, and advanced hardware architectures is creating unprecedented opportunities for innovation, efficiency, and growth."The evolution from simple chatbots to reasoning models to agentic AI will require several orders of magnitude more processing capacity, especially for inferencing," said Kuba Stolarski, research vice president at IDC.For technology leaders, vendor investors, and government policymakers, I believe the message is clear: the demand for AI infrastructure is a structural shift that will define the business technology sector for many years to come.More...

  • Contact Centers Transform with AI Intelligence
    by David H. Deans on 14.07.2025 at 12:04

    The contact center industry stands at a pivotal moment.What began as simple call routing systems has evolved into sophisticated customer experience platforms that leverage artificial intelligence (AI), rich messaging capabilities, and omnichannel communications.The shift from traditional Contact Center-as-a-Service (CCaaS) to conversational messaging platforms represents more than just technological advancement; it's a fundamental reimagining of how businesses connect with their customers.Today's customers demand personalized interactions across their preferred channels, whether that's voice, SMS or emerging platforms like Rich Communication Services (RCS).They expect immediate responses, contextual understanding, and the ability to switch between channels without losing conversation history.Intelligent CCaaS Market DevelopmentThe results tell a compelling story of market evolution and opportunity.According to the Juniper Research latest market study, the global CCaaS market is projected to reach $9.2 billion in subscription revenue during 2025, with North America leading the charge at 20.5 percent of global revenue share.This dominance reflects the region's rapid adoption of cloud-based solutions and particularly strong demand for AI innovation in customer service platforms. Perhaps most striking is the geographic distribution of growth opportunities.While North America maintains its leadership position, significant revenue streams are emerging across the Far East & China ($1.9 billion), Western Europe ($1.4 billion), and Latin America ($815 million).This global expansion indicates that conversational messaging isn't just a developed market phenomenon — it's becoming a universal customer service standard.The RCS adoption trajectory presents particularly compelling data. RCS-capable mobile subscribers are experiencing explosive growth, with projections showing substantial increases across all regions through 2029.This growth becomes especially significant when considering Apple's recent support for RCS, which will dramatically expand the addressable market for businesses looking to implement rich messaging capabilities.The AI-Powered CCaaS TransformationAI has emerged as the defining technology reshaping CCaaS platforms. The integration of Generative AI is moving beyond simple chatbots to create sophisticated virtual agents capable of autonomous operation through agentic AI.These intelligent systems can analyze customer data and speech patterns to route interactions based on urgency levels, ensuring time-critical issues receive immediate attention.The impact extends beyond customer-facing interactions. AI-powered agent assistance tools are transforming the employee experience, providing real-time guidance and automating routine tasks.This dual benefit — improved customer satisfaction and enhanced agent productivity — creates a compelling value proposition for business leaders evaluating CCaaS investments.Multilingual capabilities represent another crucial development. As businesses expand globally, AI systems that can accurately handle regional dialects and language variations become essential competitive advantages.However, accuracy challenges with certain dialects remain a limiting factor that vendors must address to fully capture emerging markets.The CCaaS Messaging Channel EvolutionThe rise of over-the-top (OTT) messaging platforms is fundamentally altering customer communication preferences. WhatsApp's introduction of payment capabilities in India and Brazil signals a shift toward all-in-one communication and transaction platforms.This development is particularly significant for industries like retail and travel, where conversational commerce can drive both customer engagement and revenue generation.RCS represents the next frontier in business messaging, offering rich media capabilities, interactive elements, and verified sender identification. However, deployment remains limited, with major U.S. operators only beginning rollouts.CCaaS Vendor Strategic Growth OpportunitiesThe competitive landscape reveals clear leaders, with Amazon Web Services, Genesys, and NICE topping Juniper Research's vendor rankings.These leaders share common characteristics: substantial AI investment, omnichannel capabilities, and platforms that facilitate the transition from traditional call centers to comprehensive customer experience solutions.The most significant growth opportunity lies in the underserved small and medium enterprise (SME) market. While large enterprise CCaaS adoption has reached saturation, SMEs represent a vast untapped market requiring tailored, scalable solutions.Vendors that can offer modular CCaaS components — such as workforce management tools, automatic call distribution, and chatbots — without requiring significant upfront investment will capture this emerging segment.Outlook for CCaaS App Innovation Opportunities Businesses will increasingly demand predictive capabilities, proactive customer engagement, and seamless integration across all communication channels.The CCaaS vendors that can deliver these capabilities while maintaining simplicity and affordability will define the next era of customer service technology innovation.The transformation from basic contact centers to conversational messaging platforms represents more than technological evolution — it's a fundamental shift in focus.That said, I believe leaders who embrace this change will improve customer satisfaction, unlock new revenue streams, and create operational efficiencies that define a strategic competitive advantage in the Global Networked Economy.More...

  • AI and Cloud Upgrades Propel IT Investment
    by David H. Deans on 21.07.2025 at 12:04

    As we move deeper into 2025, the global technology sector is at a crossroads of innovation acceleration and market recalibration. The latest Gartner forecast projects worldwide IT spending to reach $5.43 trillion this year, marking a 7.9 percent increase over 2024.Despite the global economic uncertainty and lingering market caution, organizations are forging ahead with Cloud Computing adoption, and especially Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven transformation.Let's explore where new investment is flowing, what’s guiding decision-makers, and how key technology trends will define the global IT trajectory through the rest of the decade.Enterprise IT Market DevelopmentData Center Systems experience 42.4 percent growth, a historic surge linked directly to global investments in AI-ready infrastructure.Software and IT Services remain pillars of growth, showing significant expansion as organizations persist in their digital transformation journey.Device spending, including PCs and mobile, maintains modest growth as enterprise refresh cycles coincide with AI-enabled device releases.Communications services display the slowest pace, signaling market maturity and shifts toward emerging cloud and AI models.What’s Driving the Spending Surge?A defining theme of the 2025 investment trend is the relentless focus on Generative AI (GenAI) and AI infrastructure.Business investments in AI are shifting from proofs-of-concept to wholesale upgrades of data centers, servers, and cloud platforms.While both software and services spending may be dampened by uncertainty pauses, segments like data center systems keep momentum, with investments in AI-optimized servers expected to remain elevated.In fact, spending on AI-ready hardware in data centers, which was negligible just a few years ago, is now projected to triple traditional IT server purchases by 2027.Price Increases and Real vs. Nominal GrowthAn important caveat tempers the exuberance of headline figures: inflation and vendor price hikes are absorbing a significant part of new IT budget increases.Many enterprise IT leaders report their growing budgets are, in reality, offsetting higher costs of existing products and services rather than allowing for large-scale net-new investment.This distinction between nominal and real spending is crucial for CIOs as they recalibrate technology portfolios and manage stakeholder expectations.Regional Dynamics and Sector SnapshotsNorth America and Western Europe lead in adoption of advanced cloud and AI, with 62 percent of senior leaders calling AI the defining differentiator in competition for the next decade.Asia-Pacific and Latin America show fast-rising spending, especially in digital transformation initiatives and e-commerce infrastructure.India stands out, forecast to increase IT spending by 11.1 percent, emphasizing AI, cloudification, and consulting services.Key Trends and Emerging OpportunitiesThe hunger for AI-enabled business solutions is forcing rapid overhauls of server and data center deployments. The paradigm is shifting: hyperscalers and IT services now account for over 70 percent of the new investment load, and by 2028, these giants will collectively operate $1 trillion in AI-optimized hardware — triple the historic server spend over the previous two decades.Spending on software — particularly enterprise productivity, security, and AI-powered platforms — is forecast to jump past $1.23 trillion. Consulting, implementation, and managed IT services remain in demand, indicating that organizations are turning to outside expertise to accelerate and streamline their digital transformations.Notably, CIO expectations for GenAI are beginning to reset. There is consensus that while GenAI will be transformative, immediate functionality gains from hardware upgrades are limited. The real breakthrough will occur once AI-driven applications that create true business value emerge in mainstream enterprise settings.We are in the early stages of a transformative decade for business technology, propelled by AI, cloud, and the never-ending quest for digital resilience. For IT buyers and vendors alike, the next frontier is not just higher spending, but smarter investment — prioritizing strategic initiatives that deliver agility, security, and differentiation.Outlook for Enterprise IT Applications GrowthOrganizations that recognize the interplay of inflationary cost containment and bold innovation stand to emerge as winners. Enterprise CIOs should focus on:Building AI-ready infrastructure with price/performance gains.Experimenting with GenAI use cases and realistic timelines.Partnerships with hyperscalers to accelerate IT automation.Adopting end-to-end security and resiliency frameworks."With GenAI sliding towards the trough of disillusionment, more time and spending is being focused on delivered functionality from incumbent software providers," said John-David Lovelock, Distinguished VP Analyst at Gartner.That said, I believe the global IT market’s current momentum is more than a bounce-back; it is a recalibrated leap into a future defined by desired business outcome possibilities, tempered with the prudence of strategic enterprise technology investment.More...

  • How WLAN Transforms Industrial Automation
    by David H. Deans on 28.07.2025 at 12:04

    The industrial sector is on the eve of a wireless transformation, driven by an urgent demand for greater network capacity, reliability, and deterministic performance.Historically, manufacturers and mission-critical operations have relied on wired networks — favoring their predictability — because spectrum congestion in legacy 2.4GHz and 5GHz bands limited confidence in wireless for operational technology (OT) environments.However, with the introduction and rapid adoption of the 6GHz spectrum, compounded by significant advances in Wi-Fi standards, industrial facilities are now poised to embrace wireless LANs as the backbone for automation and digital innovation.Industrial WLAN Market DevelopmentRecent research from ABI Research forecasts that over 70 percent of industrial-grade wireless LAN access points (WLAN APs) shipped in 2030 will support the 6GHz band.This is a leap from 2 percent in 2023, highlighting a rapid and profound technological shift.The market for ruggedized industrial WLAN APs is expected to grow at a 7.6 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 through to 2030, underlining both the scale of demand and the widespread deployment of wireless solutions for mission-critical automation.Global market statistics and insights include:The opening of the 6GHz band provides an extra 1,200MHz of spectrum, directly addressing the problem of wireless congestion in OT networks. This enables the support of new, latency-sensitive mobile use cases such as autonomous guided vehicles (AGVs), wireless safety networks, and real-time process control.Adoption will vary markedly by geography. In the U.S., regulatory openness is projected to drive a 219 percent increase in ruggedized WLAN AP shipments by 2030 compared to 2023. In contrast, growth in China will be limited — just a 7 percent rise is projected over the same period — due to policy preference for 5G/6G cellular OT applications rather than WLAN.The industrial WLAN sector diverges from enterprise trends. Over half of ruggedized APs shipped in 2023 still used the Wi-Fi 4 (802.11n) standard. Industrial buyers are expected to transition en masse from Wi-Fi 4 to Wi-Fi 6 (802.11ax) by 2026, with many planning to bypass Wi-Fi 7 due to limited industrial advantages, instead eyeing Wi-Fi 8 for its focus on ultra-high reliability.These quantitative findings not only highlight the magnitude of the shift but reveal strong underlying drivers: manufacturers need more capacity, lower latency, and predictable, deterministic networks to empower the next wave of Industry 4.0 automation.Determinism, Flexibility, and the Case for WirelessThe evolution toward 6GHz-enabled WLANs dovetails with the industry's need for deterministic wireless networks guaranteed to deliver data within predictable time frames, comparable to traditional wired solutions.This is crucial for applications such as coordinated robotics, process control, and industrial safety, where jitter and packet loss can lead to catastrophic outcomes. Wi-Fi 6 and beyond, with deterministic enhancements, are further reducing the reliability gap between wired and wireless OT networks.Case in point: industries adopting wireless with deterministic standards can achieve dramatic reductions in downtime and integration costs, while gaining the flexibility to quickly reconfigure production lines or deploy wireless diagnostics without excessive rewiring.Growth Opportunities and Key TrendsThe convergence of 6GHz spectrum, advanced Wi-Fi protocols (especially Wi-Fi 6 and Wi-Fi 8), and demand for flexible automation will create a multitude of opportunities:As manufacturers move toward data-driven operations, the industrial sector will generate almost as much OT data as global telco networks by 2030 — up to 4.4 zettabytes annually. This underscores the need for robust wireless backbones.Beyond AGVs and robotics, expect to see wireless solutions underpinning quality inspection (via 4K cameras), predictive maintenance, and adaptive production cells that rely heavily on data from thousands of distributed sensors.The pace of 6GHz adoption will depend not only on the readiness of OT buyers and vendors but on the regulatory climate in major markets. Early adopters with supportive policies (e.g., the US, EU) will drive global best practices and vendor investments.Wi-Fi 6E will remain a stepping stone for industrial WLAN, with most firms choosing to skip intermediate protocols (like Wi-Fi 7) in favor of standards designed specifically for high reliability and real-time control.Outlook for Industrial Wi-Fi Applications GrowthIn summary, regulatory and protocol divergence may create uneven global adoption. Regardless, the overall trajectory is clear: industrial facilities are finally getting a wireless solution robust enough to underpin the next decade of digital transformation."While 6 GHz will deliver a sizeable boost to industrial WLAN, regional growth will vary widely," said Andrew Spivey, principal analyst at ABI Research.That said, I believe for wireless technology providers, integrators, and manufacturers, the opportunities are vast, but success will hinge on an ability to navigate regulatory challenges, embrace evolving Wi-Fi standards, and deliver truly deterministic, scalable wireless networks.More...

  • Growing Venture Capital in APAC AI Market
    by David H. Deans on 04.08.2025 at 12:04

    Technology is a compelling catalyst for economic growth across the globe. Artificial intelligence (AI) rides a seismic wave of transformation in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region — a market bolstered by bold government initiatives, swelling pools of capital, and vibrant tech ambition.The latest IDC analysis sheds light on this dynamic market.Despite a contraction in deal volumes through 2024, total AI venture funding surged to an impressive $15.4 billion — a signal of the region’s resilience and the maturation of its digital-native businesses (DNBs).Asia-Pacific AI Market DevelopmentThe APAC AI sector’s funding story is not just about headline numbers but also about how and where investments are shifting.Even as the number of deals slowed, the aggregate value of investments climbed, reflecting a preference among investors for fewer but larger, high-potential bets on mature or highly scalable AI enterprises.The information technology sector led the AI investment charge. Top areas drawing attention included: Cloud computing, cybersecurity, SaaS platforms, data analytics, and machine learning.Healthcare emerged as a fast-growing vertical. Funding has catalyzed innovation in diagnostics, drug discovery, and personalized medicine, speeding up the translation of AI research into clinical outcomes.China, South Korea, and Japan attracted the lion’s share of capital, while India distinguished itself with a spike in software-driven and scalable AI solutions.Asia-Pacific AI Trends and OpportunitiesGovernment and regulatory tailwinds remain strong, especially in countries determined to lead the AI race. Support takes the form of research incentives, digital infrastructure, and pro-innovation government policies.Vendors and investors that localize product offerings and build scalable, modular platforms are far more likely to win in the heterogeneous markets.Expect further acceleration in health technology, especially in diagnostics, drug development, and population health analytics.Beyond health care, the blend of AI and cybersecurity will draw sustained investment as organizations grapple with rising data complexity and risk.The evolving needs of DNBs — infrastructure readiness, data integrity, and real-world scalability — will force AI vendors to reach partnerships.Long-term success hinges on vendors embedding within their clients’ transformation journeys and co-creating IP and operational value.Maturity Matters: AI Deployment StagesOver half of digital-native businesses in the region are still at the repeatable stage of AI maturity, indicating that best practices and scalable deployments remain elusive for most.Only 29 percent of these organizations have reached the optimized phase, where AI deployments are fully scaled and delivering maximum value.This creates fertile ground for technology vendors capable of accelerating infrastructure readiness, data integration, and automation.Collaboration and Co-InnovationA striking 42 percent of digital-native businesses are now seeking deeper, more strategic relationships with AI platform vendors.This means the era of simple technology provisioning is over — AI vendors must provide modular, scalable platforms and tailored, local market support.Market demand favors infrastructure with advisory and co-innovation capabilities — echoing the trend toward outcome-focused partnerships.Outlook for New AI Applications in APACAsia-Pacific’s digital innovation ecosystem has reached a pivotal moment.Despite buoyant capital inflows, the real opportunity lies in raising the maturity level of AI deployments and creating vibrant, win-win ecosystems among investors, technology vendors, and digital-native businesses.As research manager Supriya Deka at IDC noted, APAC stands as a global epicenter for AI investments. Those leaders who scale responsibly, localize intelligently, and partner strategically are poised to win AI deals worldwide.That said, government policy for private investment in AI can be a driver of economic growth. However, I believe consideration must be given to a corresponding investment in new electric power generation facilities. These two growth strategies are very closely aligned.More...

  • Network API Market Poised for Explosive Growth
    by David H. Deans on 11.08.2025 at 12:04

    The evolution of network APIs is one of the telecom sector’s most compelling growth opportunities.Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) have long connected disparate systems, but within telecommunications, their transformation holds a pivotal role in ushering networks from siloed infrastructure toward open, programmable platforms.Juniper Research’s latest market study underscores how global network operators can unlock new applications, reshaping digital connectivity and enterprise innovation.Network API Market DevelopmentHistorically, telecommunication networks have operated under a closed model, restricting third-party access and fostering complexity for developers.The new paradigm, supported by initiatives such as GSMA Open Gateway and CAMARA, is shifting the narrative.Operators are now embracing standardized APIs, allowing developers to integrate advanced network capabilities directly into their applications, bypassing proprietary barriers and unlocking greater innovativeness.These network APIs, whether branded as CAMARA APIs, Open Gateway APIs, or telco APIs, essentially serve as bridges, enabling applications, web browsers, and databases to communicate seamlessly with telecom networks.Yet, the market remains in its infancy, with Juniper Research projecting operator revenues from network APIs will be just $283 million by the end of 2025 — a figure dwarfed by the anticipated $8 billion by 2030.Key Market Insights and Standout StatisticsBy 2030, Juniper envisions the network API market vaulting to $8.1 billion in operator revenue, representing a 28-fold increase over five years.The lion’s share of this growth — over 60 percent — will come from authentication and fraud prevention APIs like SIM Swap, Number Verification, and Know Your Customer (KYC).$8 Billion by 2030: Total operator revenue forecast, vs. $284 million in 2025.60 percent of 2030 revenue will be attributed to authentication and fraud APIs.KYC/KYB market: Expected to surpass $52 billion globally by 2029, indicating immense demand for identity and verification services powered by APIs.6.5 Billion cellular IoT connections: Forecast for 2030, framing the massive opportunity for location-based APIs.These figures highlight the outsized market opportunity — a testament to pent-up demand and the vast potential for new digital services enabled by secure, scalable network APIs.The API Use Cases Driving AdoptionOperators are pioneering APIs in areas that offer genuine business value, particularly those addressing fraud, identity verification, and data services:Location Verification: Allows enterprises to validate user proximity within a defined region. While GPS alternatives exist, telecom-powered APIs offer additional cross-referencing value, especially for IoT deployments where cellular connectivity is critical.Number Verification: Offers instant confirmation of a mobile device’s SIM at sign-up or transaction, removing friction from traditional SMS-based OTPs, which are increasingly susceptible to artificially inflated traffic and rising costs. This API is already commercialized in markets like China, Germany, Spain, and Indonesia.SIM Swap: Critical for detecting fraudulent SIM changes, particularly relevant in banking and eCommerce, where unauthorized account access can have severe consequences. The ability to bundle SIM Swap with Number Verification enables stronger authentication frameworks.KYC APIs: With regulations tightening in banking, insurance, eCommerce, and gambling, APIs that enable rapid, reliable age verification, identity matching, and user tenure checks are vital. Operators must modernize their data infrastructure to monetize these APIs, ensuring data reliability and regulatory compliance.Market Trends and Strategic OpportunitiesWhile the market potential is vast, operators face several hurdles:Fragmented business models and operator-specific APIs currently inhibit broad adoption. Juniper’s report emphasizes the need for simple, harmonized freemium models and unified business practices to drive developer uptake and aggregator efficiency.Many enterprises and developers remain unfamiliar with telecom APIs and their application possibilities. Operator investment in documentation, training, and engagement will be essential to spur adoption.Particularly for services like location verification, competitive forces mean operators must price APIs competitively or risk enterprises gravitating to alternatives.Collaboration among operators, especially within regions, is paramount for scalable KYC, fraud, and verification services. A solution that verifies only part of a population isn’t viable; unified coverage builds confidence and utility for enterprise customers.Outlook for Network API Applications GrowthThe coming five years will set the trajectory for network APIs at scale. Operators who approach the API economy with a startup mentality — prioritizing market growth, developer experience, and collaborative business models — will capture the lion’s share of new value. Early leaders in authentication and fraud prevention APIs set the tone, but as offerings diversify into IoT, communication quality, device information, and beyond, the market will become richer and more competitive."Network operators must leverage the advanced capabilities of the KYC API to charge a higher fee per API call; thus pushing greater revenue growth," said Alex Webb, senior research analyst at Juniper Research.That said, I believe the network API opportunity bridges the telecom sector from legacy infrastructure to open platforms that are pivotal for digital transformation.The operators who invest in standards, education, and robust API ecosystems — while forging partnerships with channel innovators, aggregators, and CPaaS providers — will serve as architects of a much larger API-enabled future.More...